The CNN exit poll results from the New Hampshire GOP primary paint a stark picture for Nikki Haley’s campaign, indicating a lack of solid support within the Republican base. It’s quite revealing that 70% of her voters were not registered Republicans, but rather independents or those with undeclared party affiliations. Only 27% of her votes came from registered Republicans, alongside a negligible 3% from unregistered voters.
This data is a significant red flag for Haley’s campaign. In a Republican primary, where the core party base typically plays a crucial role in determining the winner, Haley’s reliance on non-Republican votes is a clear weakness. It suggests that she hasn’t been able to resonate with or garner substantial support from the party’s traditional voter base.
In contrast, former President Donald J. Trump, who secured the primary with 54.3% of the total vote, drew 70% of his support from registered Republicans. This difference in voter base composition between Trump and Haley is a telling sign of their respective standings within the GOP. Trump’s ability to maintain a strong foothold with registered Republicans reaffirms his continuing influence and appeal within the party.
Haley’s challenge is further underscored when considering upcoming primaries in states like South Carolina, a stronghold of traditional Republican values. Her inability to attract a significant portion of registered Republicans in New Hampshire could be a harbinger of similar outcomes in other states.
These exit poll results are not just numbers; they reflect the underlying dynamics of the Republican party’s support base. They indicate that despite Haley’s efforts, she has yet to make inroads with the core GOP electorate.