Now, a new Rasmussen poll shows that the generic ballot is even better than that, with the GOP making a large gain in the last week. Rasmussen already had Republicans leading Dems by four points in their polling last week. However, they now say that Republicans are preferred by 48 percent of likely voters, with 7 percent undecided. That’s nearly double what it was only a week ago.
But it’s not only Rasmussen who favors Republicans; three other surveys, including a CBS/YouGov poll, favor them as well.
“The disparity is important since “generic ballot” polls often underestimate Republican support. Several Republican pollsters have stated that a Democratic advantage of three points, for example, usually indicates a strong GOP win.”
Republican pollster Ed Goeas recently stated, “One of the things we’ve always seen is that if the generic ballot is within five points, we normally pick up some seats.”
“What we’ve learned on the generic ballot, and this has remained each and every year,” he continued, “is that if the generic balance is within three points, it usually implies we’re winning sufficient seats to seize control of Congress.”
As a result, support is likely to be higher than the survey indicates.
What’s creating the upheaval? Gas prices are rising again, inflation is escalating with no end in sight, and Americans regard Biden and the Democrats as clueless about how to deal with it. Republicans are focused on inflation and the economy as their primary concerns, and these are also the primary concerns of Americans. Meanwhile, Dems are talking about everything except for the topics that Americans are most concerned about, such as Jan. 6 and abortion.
